PoliticalModeling.com: Generic Congressional Ballot

Like the approval tracker, this widget follows the margin in the Generic Congressional Ballot (GCB), by modeling a smoothed polynomial and only comparing changes within a particular poll. This produces a much lower noise trendline.

If you'd like to isolate individual pollsters, you may do so. The "remove bias" button adjusts all polls to a uniform bias. Intellectual honesty compels me to point out that we don't actually know that the average bias of the polls is correct, but at least it's consistent.

If you have thoughts or questions (or wonder about my choice of pollster) feel free to contact me directly at drdavegoldberg@gmail.com.

Remove Bias Show Trend Deselect All