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This is a quick visualization to show how Joe Biden's presidential prospects look over time, and, in particular, to compare those prospects to Hillary Clinton's in 2016.
If you have thoughts or questions feel free to contact me directly at drdavegoldberg@gmail.com.
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Pop. Vote"Pop Vote": Show the best estimate for the popular vote margin as a function of time
EV"EV": Show the best estimate for the median electoral votes for the Dem (270 to win).
Probability"EV": Show the probability of a democratic win. Other/UnDec"Other": What fraction of national poll respondents are undecided or are voting for a 3rd party?
Tipping Point"Tipping Point": Show the D-R lead in the tipping point state. (2016 final value only).
EC Inefficiency"EC Inefficiency": Tipping Point minus Popular Vote. (2016 final value only).
Compare with 2016. |