PoliticalModeling.com: Long Term US Trends

TBD. If you have thoughts or questions feel free to contact me directly at drdavegoldberg@gmail.com.

Chart goes here
Popular Vote"Popular Vote": Plot the modeled (and actual) popular vote margin.
EV"EV": Estimate the electoral votes (and results) for the current model.
States"States": Estimate the "expected" number of states that the Dem will win (useful for senate comparisons).

2020 National Estimate:
4
National Trend (%/year):
0.6

Actual"Actual": The actual (D-R) electoral margin for the state.
Trend"Trend": The trend of each state relative to the national (%/year).
Model"Projected": The model estimate for each state for each election.
Error"Error": For modeled The actual (D-R) electoral margin for the state.

2020

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